It’s always a tool, not an age, to eliminate people.

1

My first computer was added in 1995. It took nearly half a year's salary, and my colleagues felt that I was crazy.

The welfare of the institutions I serve is very good. From the house, the gas stove to the New Year's rice and the East China Sea, there are all the points. The ball pen, notebook and ink for writing are just as much as you want. You stupid boy. Actually, I will spend money to buy a "writing tool". An old gentleman said to me very seriously, "You are writing a manuscript for the country. Why do you buy your computer with your own money?"

What they didn't expect was that with the computer, my writing speed was greatly accelerated. The original clumsy newspaper clippings were recorded in the electronic documents, which was very fast and more important. I became the first in China. The author of the book, the Internet opened a door to the world for me.

Now think about it, how did our generation eliminate the previous generation?

It is not that we are more diligent and smarter than them, but that we are more willing to accept new tools than they are.

2

Just like a car knocking out a horse-drawn carriage, the Internet eliminates paper media, not because the horses are not strong enough, the paper media is not refined and profound, but because of the revolutionary generation of tools.

In the United States, doctors are considered to have the highest career threshold. To become a superb doctor, you must study at least 3,000 medical books, tens of thousands of papers and clinical reports. You need to invest for ten years. This is called " Ten thousand hours of genius law."

Last year, IBM developed a learning tool based on cognitive technology, Watson, and it took only 17 seconds to learn this knowledge. A medical school called Baylor used IBM Watson to select 70,000 scientific articles from 23 million candidate titles. In just a few weeks, seven proteins that could modify p53 were accurately identified. This discovery often required the entire life sciences industry to complete seven years before using the Watson solution.

In the face of the new tool revolution, all values ​​are reconstructed, including the meaning of time and the definition of power.

3

In recent years, many of my peers have started to suffer from "elimination of phobia." In an EMBA class, a post-70s student in the jewelry chain lamented that business was not doing well and that consumers were becoming more and more unpredictable.

I asked him, do you have customer management tools? No.

Do you know the new DIY model of jewelry service abroad? do not know.

Do you encourage young people in the company to start an internal business? They know a hair.

Have you used online banking and purchased it online? Why do I have to do this, it is a secretary.

I said, you have to withdraw the tuition fee, hurry home to wash and sleep.

Not long ago, I went to the South Pole. There were 30 friends from the business community. A Jerry Zhao was from New York. She was already in her 60s and wore green mountains and green waters.

Lao Zhao has been doing sock business for more than 20 years. Last year, he sold socks on Taobao, and he achieved the second place in the sub-sector, with sales of more than 60 million yuan, but lost millions. However, he saw me, but he did not seem to be discouraged. This year he slowed down his investment in Taobao, and in turn he cooperated with Vipshop, and also acquired a new Internet socks brand. On the cruise ship in Antarctica, he wrapped me around to let me introduce "necessary" and "famous excellent products" to him.

After 70, the jewellery students are old, and the old socks of the 50s are still young.

4

Once I went to a middle school lecture, a teacher stood up and debated with me.

He said that it is impossible to use 80s and 90s later. According to his more than ten years of teaching experience, 95 is the "new generation", and the difference between them and the 90s is far greater than the difference between 90 and 85.

Such discussions are heard from time to time.

In the post-60s generation, everyone thinks that the "three generations of the "three generations" in the third and subsequent years are two types of people. After 70, everyone thinks that 1976 is a watershed. After 80, everyone thinks that the first batch of seven-digit QQ users is the Internet. The sign of the road to the aborigines.

Such a generation will never be conclusive.

The elimination of a generation by a generation is never because of age. Whether or not the same tools are used, it is more representative than the difference in age.

5

The change of tools is only related to two elements, one is speed and the other is efficiency. Speed ​​can break through the original cost logic, and efficiency changes the distribution pattern of benefits.

According to his calculations, Kurzweil’s book "Singularity Approaching" proposes that the progress of the entire 20th century will be achieved in the 21st century in 20 years, that is, in 2000. The rate of development is five times the average growth rate of the 20th century. In 2000, it took only 14 years to achieve the progress of the entire 20th century, and then in 2019, it will take another 7 years to achieve another century-old progress of the 20th century. The technological progress of the century will be a thousand times that of the 20th century.

This thousand-fold speed of progress is obviously non-linear, and its core power must come from the rapid iteration of tools. In this sense, the 21st century tools must age faster than the age of people.

Every time a tool revolution occurs, the vested interests in the original ecology are often unable to adapt. Their thinking and operating systems have formed inertia in the original tool system, which is too comfortable, and change means everything is smashed. In hesitation and fear, new competitors have already slashed their necks.

Therefore, the success rate of transformation and upgrading is very low. Those who have great courage cannot betray their past success.