Analysis report on the economic development situation of our county

Since the beginning of this year, under the influence of the national macroeconomic regulation and control policy, the county's economy has seized the opportunity of development, solved various problems on the road of development, optimized the entire industrial structure, and eased the internal factors that constrain economic development. Continue to grow steadily. In the first quarter, the county's total production value was 2.573 billion yuan, up 12.3% over the same period of the previous year; the total industrial output value was 5.415 billion yuan, up 15.5% year-on-year; the fixed assets investment of the whole society was 925 million yuan, up 42.5% year-on-year. The total retail sales of consumer goods totaled 952 million yuan, up 6.1%; the total fiscal revenue was 317 million yuan, up 15.8%. These major economic indicators reflect the good economic start of our county. At the same time, it should be clearly recognized that the external environment affecting economic growth is tightening, the undecidable factors are increasing, and the internal constraints are further manifested. More efforts are needed to achieve the economic growth target of more than 12% for the whole year.
Analysis of the status quo of major industries

The good development of the national economy is based on the sustained growth of the three major industries. To maintain the sound development of the overall economy, we must do a good job in the construction of agriculture, industry, construction and tertiary industry, and analyze the development prospects of the county's economy. Only by starting with the three major industries can we have a more comprehensive understanding.

1. The basic position of agriculture is weakening, and production has continued to decline for many years, accounting for the decline in the proportion of the county's economy. Everyone understands that agriculture is the foundation of the entire national economy. Grasping agricultural production is a basic and social task and a prerequisite for ensuring the sound development of the entire national economy. Judging from the production situation of agriculture in our county, as the area of ​​cultivated land decreases year by year, the total amount of production is shrinking. The grain area has experienced negative growth for seven consecutive years, and grain production has declined for eight consecutive years. Compared with 2000, the total agricultural output value of the county has increased from 686 million yuan to 804 million yuan. In fact, this increase is mainly due to the increase in agricultural product prices, and the real agricultural production has not increased significantly. Its share of the county's economy dropped from 6.5% in 2000 to 5.3%. From the perspective of agricultural resources, compared with 2000, the area of ​​cultivated land decreased from 311,600 mu to 293,300 mu, and the net reduction was 13,300 mu. If we consider that the newly cultivated land in most of these years is mostly mountainous dry land, the reduction of fertile land in the whole county It is far more than this information. From the production scale of agricultural main products, compared with 2000, the bulk products showed a downward trend, in which the grain planting area was reduced from 509,400 mu to 353,200 mu, and the total grain output was reduced from 150,000 tons to 104,000 tons. From 346,600 heads to 323,400 heads, although economical agricultural products such as vegetables, fruits, and poultry have expanded to some extent, the annual increase is very limited. Therefore, in the case that the agricultural resources of our county are decreasing year by year, if the economic benefits of agricultural products are not greatly improved, it is unrealistic to hope that the agricultural industry will rebound greatly.

2. The difficulty of sustained and rapid development of industrial production is increasing, and the constraints are increasing. From the perspective of the overall industrial development of our county, the development speed has been relatively fast in recent years. The total industrial output value of the county has increased from 13.645 billion yuan in 2000 to nearly 25 billion yuan in 2004, with an average annual growth rate of over 15%. We know that when our total industrial economy is still below 20 billion yuan, the base is relatively low, and achieving a 15% annual growth rate is relatively easy. When our total industrial economy reaches a scale of nearly 25 billion yuan, the base will increase, and we must reach the annual growth rate of 15%. The annual output value must exceed 3.7 billion yuan, which is equivalent to increasing the yak The output value of the three towns under the bridge, Shatou and Shatou is also equivalent to the output value of the three largest group enterprises in the county, such as Aokang, Baoxin Bird and Hung Hom. Therefore, under the premise of less than 2,500 industrial entrepreneurs in our county, 3.7 billion yuan should be realized. The difficulty of the increase is not directly comparable to that of 2000 years ago. From the four leading industries of leather shoes, pumps, garments, buttons and zippers in our county, three of them are consumer goods. It is necessary to know that the demand for consumer goods is not only affected by market share, but also by consumer groups. Under the circumstance that the market is not well developed, it is very risky to blindly pursue the expansion of quantity. Judging from the scale and product grade of industrial enterprises in our county, the scale of enterprises is small and the grades of products are low. At the end of 2004, there were about 500 enterprises with sales revenue of over 5 million yuan, accounting for only one-fifth of the total number of industrial enterprises in the county. The technological content of their products was generally low, the added value was not high, and the market competitiveness was not strong. From the perspective of the regional development of our county's industry, the development along the Yangtze River and the mountainous area is very uneven. In 2003 and 2004, it was more dependent on the industry in northern Fujian. The towns and towns such as Qiaotou, Wuniu, Qiaoxia and Shangtang all showed a slow growth or decline. . We must know that a region's industry relies on the growth of only one town and town. The development of this "single head pick" is very dangerous. Once there is a problem in the industrial development of Weibei, the county's industry will be seriously affected. Judging from the external constraints of the industrial economy, raw material purchase prices and product prices are in a “high-in, low-out” pattern. In 2004, the ex-factory price of industrial products in the city rose by 3.6%, and the purchase price of energy raw materials rose by as much as 14.9%. This situation is obviously conducive to the development of the raw material production industry, but it has caused greater pressure on the processing industry. If the manufacturing industry is the main industrial group, if the prices of energy, raw materials and industrial products continue to maintain contrast, processing enterprises will face the dual pressures of higher costs and lower prices, which will have a great impact on the economic benefits of enterprises and seriously affect enterprises. The market competitiveness and export capacity of products have a direct impact on the overall efficiency of the industrial economy and industrial development. The problem of tight power supply is also the main bottleneck restricting the industrial development of our county. Along with the continuous expansion of the industrial economy of our county, a number of new industrial projects have been put into production one after another. The demand for industrial electricity in the county has increased, and the contradiction between power supply and demand has become increasingly prominent. The production of electricity is tight, and the production costs are rising due to the self-supplied power generation. Some corporate orders are lost. I learned from the county electric power department that the electricity shortage in our county is still around 100 million degrees this year.

3. The construction enterprises are weak and the social investment is weak. In 2004, the county's construction industry added value of 883 million yuan, up 6.3% over the previous year, accounting for 8.4% of the total production value. There are only 23 construction enterprises in the county. In the previous year, the construction industry output value was only 1.9 billion yuan, and the completed production value was less than 1.5 billion yuan. It is difficult for such a small industry to contribute greatly to the county economy. From the perspective of social investment, there is limited room for growth. In 2004, the county's fixed assets investment amounted to 2.97 billion yuan, up 4.9% over the previous year, and its growth rate has declined for many years. This year, the county has completed the target of fixed assets investment of the whole society of 3.3 billion yuan. According to this target value, the average daily investment of our county should exceed 9 million yuan, which is very difficult. Judging from the source of funds for investment, our county mainly relies on government investment and real estate investment to drive, and private investment in enterprises and natural persons is still insufficient. In 2004, among all the project investment in the county, government investment and private investment were in a “five-five-year” situation. Under the condition of a county economy with a fiscal revenue of only 1 billion, government investment can only be directed, and it is impossible to take large amounts of government investment every year. Judging from the current investment prospects of our county, although there are investments in the “Traffic Ten Billion” project in the next few years, according to the statistical caliber, the actual share of the county may be few and far between.

4. The growth rate of traditional industries in the three industries slowed down, the financial industry was optimistic, and the proportion of the state-owned economy increased. In the three industries, the dominant industries should be transportation, commerce and other traditional industries. In 2000, the two major industries accounted for 47.8% of the added value of the three industries, and the four-year average growth rate was 10.9% and 7.4%, respectively. The annual growth rate of production is 2.6 and 6.1 percentage points, and its proportion has also dropped to 40.2% in 2004. The slowdown in the development of the transportation industry has its certain inevitability. First, in recent years, it has not cultivated large transportation enterprises. The transportation companies and shipping companies, such as the Changyun Company, the Intermodal Transportation Company and the Steamship Company, have limited capacity and capacity. Second, there is no good traffic route. In the case of the same traffic line, growth can only rely on the increase in the amount of customers and the amount of goods. In the current situation, this growth potential is not great, such as: the county shipping company It is impossible to raise the charging standard, and its annual growth is very limited without opening up new shipping routes. The trade industry should be said to be a continuous downturn in recent years. The socially effective consumer demand has not been greatly improved. The location advantage of Yongjia should be a location disadvantage compared with the trade industry. Some high-end consumption and new consumption are easy to drain, plus our county is near In the past few years, rural consumption channels have not been greatly expanded, and some rural social needs have not been realized. Under this circumstance, it is not surprising that the county's social consumption demand has increased slowly. In 2004, the total retail sales of social consumer goods in the county only grew by 8.6%, which was 3.5 percentage points lower than that in 2003. The prosperity and development of the financial industry has a dual significance. First, it plays a role in escorting the economic development of the entire region and can promote the rapid and healthy development of other industries. Second, it is an important part of the national economy. The economy has a certain share. Compared with 2000, the added value of the financial industry has doubled, with an average annual growth rate of 18.9%, which is 5.4 percentage points higher than the average of the three industries. Its share of the tertiary industry has also increased from 8.1% in 2000 to 9.8 in the previous year. %. More than 95% of the county's education, health science and technology and national party and government organs are of a state-owned economy. With the increase in infrastructure investment and institutional reforms in recent years, the state-owned economy has developed rapidly. The proportion is increasing year by year. In 2004, its growth rate reached 16.3%, and its share of the tertiary industry also increased from 16.8% in 2000 to 22% in the previous year.

Analysis of the main positive factors

In the face of the major problems in all walks of life in our county, we must do a good job of analysis, give full play to our advantages, foster strengths and avoid weaknesses, and strive to overcome various difficulties on the road of economic development to ensure sustained and healthy economic development.

1. A unique geographical advantage creates a red land. Wenzhou City's "two sessions" proposed to integrate Yongjia into the metropolitan area. With the north of Wenzhou city, Yongjia, which is separated from the urban area by only one river, will follow the "axis connection, group development, phase advancement, and realization of the joint". The idea is to speed up the development of the joint development of Shangtang and Yubei and make every effort to build the central city. In this regard, Yubei Town, which is known as “Wuzhou Pudong”, has become a hot spot for investment. The rational development and utilization of Sanjiang Tablet will greatly promote the overall development of the economy in Weibei and Yongjia. With the construction and opening of “Jinliwen Expressway”, “Zhuyong Expressway” and “Wenzhou Ring Expressway”, the future of Weibei and even the entire Yongjia will become a hot spot for investment.

2. Strong brand awareness and cultivate a group of local leading enterprises. The county party committee and county government have implemented the strategy of “Quality County, Brand Development” to encourage and guide enterprises to become bigger and stronger, and to do brand expansion, brand promotion and brand protection. At present, the county has 3 well-known trademarks in China, 3 Chinese famous brand products, 19 national inspection-free products, and has cultivated a large number of famous enterprises and leading enterprises in the industry. Among the top 50 enterprises in Wenzhou, Yongjia has 6 . This policy orientation will continue to guide a large number of mid-range enterprises to work harder and stronger, bringing vitality to the Yongjia economy.

3, a rare giant policy, bringing a difficult market opportunity. The central government has strengthened the regulation of giants, actively adjusted the industrial structure, vigorously developed heavy industry, implemented a large number of major projects such as the West-East Gas Pipeline, South-to-North Water Transfer, and Thermal Power Generation, providing huge market demand for pump and valve products and complete sets of equipment in our county. At present, China is actively expanding domestic demand, promoting urbanization, increasing the construction of public facilities such as gas supply and sewage discharge treatment in cities, and will also bring huge potential market opportunities for pump and valve products.

4. The implementation of reasonable policies and measures will create a good environment for enterprises to “play singing and singing”. The county government and relevant departments actively changed their concepts and made great efforts to create a good living environment for enterprises. They introduced a series of tax preferential policies and discount loans, brand incentives, and fee reductions to help enterprises grow and develop. Adhere to the combination of “going out” and “bringing in”, revitalizing the financing of Yongjia enterprises, and under the huge financial pressure of export tax rebates, actively encourage enterprises to open up foreign markets. The Yongjia government department can say that it has created a good "stage" for the development of enterprises. Entrepreneurs can give their talents and sing the Yongjia enterprise drama. At the same time, the strategic decision made by our province to build an advanced manufacturing base has clearly defined the direction of the industrial park construction in our county, so that a group of enterprises with high technology content can enter the park to start production as soon as possible.

5. A good macro environment is a powerful guarantee for sustained economic development. There is still a relatively good environment for this year, and there are more favorable factors to support economic growth. First, the world economy will continue to maintain its momentum of rapid growth since the second half of 2003. The World Economic Outlook report released by the World Bank predicts that the world economic growth rate will be 3.2% in 2005 and 2006, and the global trade volume growth rate will be 8.4% and 7.8%, respectively, although it has slowed down from the previous year, but Compared with previous years, it is still relatively fast. Second, the expected goal of the regulation of the giants has been initially realized. The unstable and unhealthy factors in the economic operation have been contained, and the national economy is expected to continue to grow steadily. Third, the promulgation of the "Several Opinions of the State Council on Encouraging Support and Guidance for the Development of Non-Public Ownership Economy" is conducive to the economic development of Wenzhou, which is relatively developed in the non-public economy.

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